Cottagers to provide another twist in top-four race

England - Premier League

Jaymes Monte picks out his best bets for this Saturday's Premier League 3pm kick-offs...

 

Fulham 5.2 v Arsenal 1.76; The Draw 4.0

Fulham entertain Arsenal this weekend unbeaten in their last four Premier League games against the Gunners, drawing three and winning one.

In addition, Arsene Wenger's side have won only one of their last four trips to Craven Cottage and have won just three of their last 13 London derbies away from the  Emirates.

 

These bare statistics suggest a difficult afternoon for the Gunners and perhaps another twist in the race for the top four.

Best Bet: Lay Arsenal @ 1.76

 

Norwich 1.77 v Reading 5.6; The Draw 3.85

Norwich have won just one of their last 16 Premier League matches (D7 L8), yet come into this one as short as 1.77 in the Match Odds betting. Of course that price is available because of who they are playing, but it's still not a bet I'd be rushing to back.

 

Reading have lost just one of their last seven league meetings with Norwich City (W4 D2), but have take only one point from a possible 24 in their last eight league  matches.

 

The Canaries have played out six goalless draws in the Premier League this season, more than any other side in the division and including the reverse fixture at the  Madejski earlier this season.

Best Bet: Back 0-0 @ 13.0 in Correct Score

 

QPR 2.28 v Stoke 3.65; The Draw 3.4

Harry Redknapp's win percentage of 20% (four wins from 20) at QPR is exactly the same as that of his predecessors, Mark Hughes and Neil Warnock.

 

However, he does have an ideal opportunity to improve that statistic this weekend when a Stoke side that have won fewer Premier League points in 2013 than any other  team come to Loftus Road. The Potters have lost six successive away games and have earned just one point from their last seven matches.

 

If you're brave enough to bet on the Match Odds then the home side look to be the selection. For me though, it's all about the goals markets.

 

Stoke have scored just seven goals in their last 13 Premier League games, while Rangers rely heavily on Loic Remy who is already the club's joint-top scorer despite  having only made nine appearances.

Best Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 1.74

 

Sunderland 3.55 v Everton 2.3; The Draw 3.4

Sunderland's record against Everton is terrible and it's safe to say that The Toffees are the Black Cats' bogey team.

 

The Wearsiders have won just four points from their last 16 Barclays Premier League games with Everton (W0 D4 L12), and their record Premier League defeat (1-7) came  at Goodison Park.

 

Sunderland's derby win over Newcastle last weekend ended a run of nine Premier League games without a win (L6 D3), but it shouldn't be underestimated just how much  that victory has lifted the club and it's supporters. The Stadium of Light will be rocking this Saturday.

 

For that reason I'd avoid the Match Odds and instead look to a bet on Under 2.5 goals. Everton have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five Premier League games,  conceding only two goals in the other match during this run.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.84

 

Swansea 2.4 v Southampton 3.2; The Draw 3.55

Southampton travel to South Wales as one of the league's form teams, undefeated in their last five matches, while Swansea are on a run of four Premier League games  without a win. Thus the away win is an appealing option in the Match Odds betting.

 

Perhaps, however, the value bet lies in the To Score market. Especially give that the result isn't of upmost importance for two sides safely marooned in mid-table  obscurity.

 

Jay Rodriguez has scored in three successive Premier League starts for Southampton, while the last six goals that Swansea City have scored in the Barclays Premier  League have come from either Michu (3) or Luke Moore (3).

 

Of the trio Rodriguez will be carrying my money. But I wouldn't put anyone off backing either or all three of the above.

Best Bet: Back Rodriguez to score anytime @ 3.2

 

West Brom 2.34 v Newcastle 3.4; The Draw 3.45

If Everton are Sunderland's bogey team, then Newcastle are West Brom's equivalent. The Baggies have won only two of 13 Premier League meetings, with the Geordies  winning on three of their last four visits to the Hawthorns.

 

Twenty-two of Newcastle's last 23 Premier League matches have produced a winner, with only one draw (W7 L15), so the statistics suggest avoiding a stalemate here at  odds of 3.45.

 

Papiss Cisse has a good record against Albion having scored three and assisted one in his two appearances against them. Perhaps he's worth a punt in the To Score  market this weekend.

Best Bet: Back Cisse to score anytime @ 3.0

 

West Ham 2.34 v Wigan 3.4; The Draw 3.5

The midweek draw with Manchester United means that West Ham have lost only four of their 16 Premier League home games this season and picked up 66% of their points  this season at Upton Park.

 

Wigan's annual Houdini act needs to kick into gear soon if they are to stave off relegation again this season, and that needs to start by being more prolific in front  of goal. The Latics' last three Premier League games have produced a total of just four goals.

Best Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.04

 

(Source: Betfair)

 

Bet HERE

 

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