Against All Odds: Troyes to take advantage of fatigued PSG

13Apr 2013

Ligue1

 

It's top v bottom in France's Ligue One this afternoon and Paul Robinson believes there are many reasons to think that ESTAC Troyes can pick up a result at home to PSG.

 

Troyes are six points adrift of safety after losing a crucial relegation battle with Nancy last weekend. While that defeat will serve as a bitter blow, the side that came third in Ligue Two last year will carry on battling to the very end.

 

Jean-Marc Furlan's men will take heart from the fact that they're back on home soil today - a place where they've lost just one of their last eight fixtures, and only four in total all season. They have already beaten second placed Marseille at Stade de l'Aube this term and in their last match there they held third placed Saint-Etienne to a 2-2 draw.

 

Granddi N'Goyi is likely to miss out with a hamstring problem but other than that they are pretty much at full strength, something which cannot be said for the visitors.

 

Zlatan Ibrahimovic is serving his third suspension of the campaign and he is a huge miss given that he's scored 26 of PSG's 56 league goals. A further negative against the Parisians is that this is their fifth game in 16 days and you've got to wonder how much they left out on the pitch at the Nou Camp on Wednesday night.

 

Carlo Ancelotti will of course rotate his team somewhat, but the whole squad will likely be on a downer after their Champions League exit, especially as they came so close to making it through to the final four. Obviously winning Ligue One will go some way to make up for that disappointment, but they do have a seven point cushion over Marseille, so it's not like they can't afford to slip up.

 

The match in Paris between these two finished 4-0 to the home team but I think it will be much closer today. Troyes are fighting for their lives and are generally very solid in front of their own fans, whereas PSG have had a hard couple of weeks and are without their star player. That's why, with Paris Saint-Germain trading as low as 1.68 I have to make them my lay of the day.

 

Recommended Bet

Lay Paris St-G v ESTAC Troyes @ 1.68

 

Bet HERE

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Keywords: Against All Odds, Troyes, PSG

Source: Betfair

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