Against All Odds: Maastricht to spoil Volendam party

 

Top of the table Volendam host Maastricht in the Dutch Jupiler League this evening and while the league leaders are quite short in the market, Paul Robinson thinks that those tuning into Betfair Live Video at 19:00 could be in for an upset.

 

David Luiz has nosed in front of Shinji Kagawa on my most hated list. After the United midfielder missed a sitter when we only needed one more goal on Monday, David Luiz scored with the last kick of the game last night to thwart our lay of over 2.5 goals in the most cruel of circumstances - even crueller considering that the second goal was a dodgy penalty in the 87th minute.

 

Onwards and upwards though and Volendam are most certainly a team on the up. After finishing down in 12th place last season, Hans de Koning was installed as manager, and with just two games to go, they are top of the table, two points clear of Cambuur in second.

 

The 'Other Orange' have won their last six on the spin and given their superior goal difference, they need to pick up four points from their remaining two fixtures to all but secure promotion to the top flight of Dutch football.

 

Clearly they will be highly motivated, as if results go their way, they could actually win the league tonight. They are quite long odds-on though and their opponents will provide a very stern test.

 

Maastricht are fifth in the table with little to play for. They will likely finish fourth of fifth but only the winners achieve promotion to the Eredivisie and there are no play-offs. They would be challenging for that title if their home form hadn't fallen off a cliff in the last couple of months - one point from a possible 18 - as their results away from De Geusselt have been superb.

 

René Trost's men have lost on the road just once this season and they've won six of their last eight. They haven't just been beating the weaker teams in the division either as Cambuur, Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard were all beaten at home by MVV.

 

Volendam's price has obviously been influenced by their desire for victory, but as the Rolling Stones once sang - You can't always get what you want. Maastricht have been excelling away from home and I fear that the market have underestimated them here. That's why, with Volendam trading around the 1.55 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.

 

Recommended Bet

Lay Volendam v Maastricht @ 1.55

 

Bet HERE

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