Arry has yet to have an effect at QPR

The Opta stats are in and Jaymes Monte has worked through the numbers to pick out the best bets for this weekend's Premier League 3pm kick-offs...

Liverpool 1.41 v Aston Villa 9.8; The Draw 5.2[/bf]

 

I think it's fair to say that neither Paul Lambert nor Brendan Rodgers have had ideal starts to their new jobs, with both managers' former clubs occupying loftier league  positions than their current sides.

 

Villa have won only one of their last 16 Premier League away matches, scoring just seven goals in that period. Although that run does stretch back into the Alex McLeish  era, Lambert has done little to arrest the slump.

 

Liverpool are at least showing encouraging signs of improving lately, having won three of their last four Premier League home games after winning just three of the previous  15. With Luis Suarez back in the side The Reds can win this one comfortably and Liverpool -1.5 is available to back at 2.1 in the Asian Handicap market.

 

 

Man Utd 1.22 v Sunderland 17.5; The Draw 7.8

 

Manchester United have won 15 and lost none of their last 20 Premier League games against Sunderland, while The Black Cats have failed to score in nine of their last 11  league games against United including the last five in a row.

 

Although Sir Alex Ferguson's record against Sunderland is emphatic, the margins that they have won games by is not so. United have only scored seven goals in the last  six Premier League meetings between the sides, and three of those have been own goals.

 

Under 2.5 goals is a 3.0 chance, Under 3.5 is as big as 1.8 and Man Utd to win to nil is 2.0. All look cracking bets.

 

 

Norwich 2.26 v Wigan 3.55; The Draw 3.55

 

Norwich's impressive league form continued with an enthralling 4-3 win at Swansea last weekend. Chris Hughton will be hoping that the midweek Capital One Cup defeat to  Aston Villa has not disrupted too much of their momentum.

 

The Canaries have only met Wigan four times previously in the league, with three of those matches ending in 1-1 draws. It is a 7.4 chance that the trend continues with another 1-1 stalemate this weekend.

 

Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.02 is a standout punt, however. Wigan have only scored two goals in their last six Premier League away games, while Norwich have scored just eight goals in their last seven home league fixtures.

 

 

QPR 2.5 v Fulham 3.1; The Draw 3.5[/bf]

 

Harry Redknapp's arrival at Loftus Road has not had the instant impact that The R's board and fans were hoping as they remain winless and rooted to the bottom of the  Premier League table.

 

Rangers have not won any of their last seven Premier League games at Loftus Road, yet are inexplicably made 2.5 favourites for the three points here.

 

Fulham have won five and lost none of the last six meetings with QPR and Rangers have failed to score in all six games. Back The Cottagers at odds of 3.1 in the Match Odds market or 2.22 in the Draw No Bet market.

 

 

Stoke 3.3 v Everton 2.46; The Draw 3.3

 

Stoke's top-half position in the Premier League is thanks in no small part to their form at The Britannia. The Potters have won four and lost none of their Premier League  home games this campaign and are unbeaten in their last 14 stretching back into last season.

 

The Potters have conceded just two goals in their last seven Premier League home matches, while Everton have only scored two goals in their last five matches against  Stoke and one of those was a Peter Crouch own goal.

 

A home win at odds of 3.3 looks a cracking bet in the Match Odds market, while 2.34 is available on The Potters in the Draw No Bet market. Under 2.5 goals also looks an obvious bet at odds of 1.72.

 

Recommended Bets

Back Under 2.5 goals @ 3.0 in Man Utd v Sunderland

Back Under 2.5 goals @ 3.0 in Norwich v Wigan

Back Fulham to beat QPR @ 3.1

Back Stoke to beat Everton @ 3.3

 

Bet HERE !

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