ATP Mutua Madrid Masters Betting: Back in-form Wawrinka to defeat Tsonga and Murray is up against it
It's quarter finals day at the Mutua Madrid Open and Andy Murray is in action again after his late night win, but Sean Calvert thinks this is far as he goes and also likes Stan Wawrinka to progress.
Fernando Verdasco got my hopes up on Thursday in Madrid by producing a superb performance in the opening set against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.
From dominating the early stages of the match Fernando became, well, Fernando as he collapsed like a badly erected tent in the decider, being broken to love in the opening game and foiling my handicap bet in the process.
I couldn't have been more accurate in my prediction in the Andy Murray vs Gilles Simon clash though in which I said that it could go on all day. Indeed it did and those on my suggestion of over 20.5 games were more than satisfied in an awful encounter that lasted just shy of three hours.
Anyone that stayed up for the duration of that one deserves a medal and Murray will need to improve today when he takes on my outright tip Tomas Berdych this evening in which I'll obviously be rooting for Berdych, who has to be worth a wager for those not involved outright.
The Czech has been backed into slight favouritism at 1.97 now and Murray's 5-14 record against top-10 opponents on clay suggests that is value, along with Berdych's 2-0 clay record against Murray and everything we've seen this week.
And I also like the chances of Stan Wawrinka who takes on Tsonga in the night match at around 9pm UK time straight after Murray/Berdych.
Stan is in prime form at the moment and he should have beaten Tsonga in Monte-Carlo on the dirt, but totally lost his way after dominating the opening set in that clash.
He's been working with Magnus Norman lately and he'll be super confident after winning in Oeiras by crushing David Ferrer in the final there and taking down Novak Djokovic's conqueror Grigor Dimitrov last night.
Tsonga has benefitted from mental meltdowns from both Verdasco and Robin Haase and if Stan can stay focussed and not go walkabout he should take this one.
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Back Wawrinka to beat Tsonga at 1.75
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Keywords: ATP Mutua Madrid Masters, Wawrinka,Tsonga, Murray
Source: Betfair
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