Spurs and Wigan to serve up a thriller

England - Premier League

The Opta stats are in and Jaymes Monte has worked through them to pick out his best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs...

 

Everton 1.52 v Fulham 8.2; The Draw 4.4

 

Everton's push for a top-four finish may have come to a grinding halt at the Stadium of Light last week but there's still plenty to play for at Goodison; specifically finishing above neighbours Liverpool.

The Toffees have won their last 19 home games against Fulham - quite an astonishing statistic - making the 1.52 about a home win the only play on the Match Odds.

 

For a bigger return on your investment, it may be worth looking at the Half Time/Full Time market. David Moyes' men have scored a higher percentage of first half goals than any other team in this season's top flight (57%), while Fulham have recovered fewer points than any other team in the top flight from losing positions this season (5).

 

Best Bet: Back Everton/Everton @ 2.3 in HT/FT

 

 

Southampton 1.92 v West Brom 4.6; The Draw 3.75

 

Five of the last seven league meetings between Southampton and West Brom have ended as draws with one win apiece in the other two games, and I think it's safe to assume on recent form that this one will also be close.

 

On that basis we have to suggest that the 1.92 about a home win is ripe for opposing, while 4.6 about the Baggies looks a good value bet but the draw at 3.75 the most logical.

 

In a meaningless end-of-season fixture it always makes sense to expect goals, and the Opta stat that Saints have scored as many Premier League goals as Manchester City in 2013 (21) backs up that thinking.

 

Best Bet: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.12

 

 

Stoke 2.16 v Norwich 4.1; The Draw 3.3

 

One of the most unglamorous fixtures in the Premier League calendar between two clubs that look as though they may have done enough to just stave off relegation doesn't exactly inspire enthusiasm. And neither do the stats.

 

Four of the last six matches between Stoke and Norwich have ended with a 1-0 scoreline, while six of The Potters' last eight Premier League games have gone under 2.5 goals.

 

This game also pits together the two teams to have won the fewest Premier League games in 2013 (two each), and so to make one side a 2.16 chance for the win doesn't seem right.

 

Best Bet: Lay Stoke to win @ 2.16

 

 

Wigan 4.0 v Tottenham 2.08; The Draw 3.65

 

They don't come much bigger than this at this stage of the season, with both teams desperate for all three points for completely contrasting reasons. The Latics have dominated recent games against Man City and West Ham, but came away with nothing to show for it, while Spurs' result against the 2011/12 Premier League champions gives them renewed confidence of a top-four finish.

 

Wigan have won just three and lost seven of their 15 previous Barclays Premier League meetings with Spurs, including suffering that record 9-1 defeat three seasons ago.

 

Both Jermain Defoe and Clint Dempsey will be particularly looking forward to this game. The Englishman has scored 10 goals in 12 appearances against Wigan, while his American teammate has scored more goals against The Latics (6) than any other Premier League opponent.

 

The bet of the match, however, comes in the Both Teams To Score market. Each side has scored in 24 of Tottenham's league games this season, more than any other club.

 

Best Bet: Yes @ 1.7 in Both Teams To Score

 

(Source: Betfair) http://betting.betfair.com/football/premier-league/premier-league-3pm-kick-off-spurs-and-wigan-set-for-thriller-250413-159.html

 

Bet HERE

 

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